Newsom still has commanding lead in California governor's race, but Cox surges

With just days left in the gubernatorial primary race, campaigns are cranking into high gear to get out the vote.

Delaine Eastin returned to her political roots in Union City Thursday to meet with supporters. She says she's hopeful progressives will help her become the Golden State's first female governor.

"The reality is the bigger the state the harder it is to elect a women. The bigger the city the harder it is to elect a woman mayor so there's only one out of ten big cities in California that has a woman mayor, that's Oakland," said Eastin.

A new poll by UC Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies shows two candidates with a commanding lead.

Democrat Gavin Newsom had the most support with 33 percent.
Republican John Cox had 20 percent.
Democrat Antonio Villaraigosa had 13 percent.
Republican Travis Allen had 12 percent.
Democrats John Chiang had 7 percent and Delaine Easton had 4 percent.

"This represents a shift towards Cox and away from Allen compared to last month and I think a good reason for that has to do with the endorsement of President Trump," said Mark DiCamillo, the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies Poll Director.

DiCamillo says Cox's ascent has displaced Villaraigosa, once thought a top contender, but who has lost votes within his own party.

"Unfortunately, for Villaraigosa, Newsom has been increasing his support with each poll. And it mostly coming from the rank and file democratic establishment," said DiCamillo.

Newsom's big lead among Democrats suggests a win in November if Republican John Cox wins a spot in the state's top-two primary, and if Democrats such as John Chiang toe the party line.

DiCamillo says turnout could be key.

"History suggests a third of registered voters will be turning out for this election," said DiCamillo.

For more information on the Berkeley IGS poll, click here.
 

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